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U.S. Interest Rate Jitters Pummel LatAm Stocks

    Tuesday, March 21, 4:45 PM EST (Thomson Financial): Latin American stocks
retreated on concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking
cycle will continue longer than expected. Mexico's stock market was closed for
a national holiday.
    Brazil's Bovespa Index dropped 805.52 points, or 2.11%, while Argentina's
Merval Index fell 10.79 points, or 0.59%.
    Brazilian stocks sank, as hawkish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke stoked concerns that U.S. interest rates have further to
rise. The comments fueled expectations that the Fed will hike interest rates
at its meeting next week and again in May. Adding to rate concerns, U.S.
producer price index data released today showed that core inflation was higher
than expected in February. Higher U.S. interest rates tend to divert
investment flows away from emerging markets like Brazil.
    In local economic news, Brazil posted a February current account surplus
of US$725 million, reversing a January current account deficit of US$452
million. That brought the 12-month current account surplus to US$13.54
billion, equal to 1.69% of gross domestic product.
    Meanwhile, Brazilian retail sales volume rose a seasonally adjusted 2.35%
in January from December. In December, retail sales volume rose 1.19% compared
with November. Retail sales gained 6.54% in January from a year earlier.
Retail sales for the 12 months ended January 31 rose 4.87%.
    In corporate news, Petrobras said it won 10 exploration and production
blocks off the U.S. coast of the Gulf of Mexico. Petrobras agreed to pay
US$22.3 million for the ten blocks, and the firm's U.S. unit plans to invest
US$305 million in oil and gas exploration and production development
activities in 2006. On a down note, the Rio de Janeiro government said
Petrobras owes it 800 million reais in special royalty arrears, a local
newspaper reported.
    Mining firm CVRD and steelmaker Usiminas are mulling a plan to build a
US$3 billion steelmaking complex in Brazil's southeast region, news services
reported.
    Argentine shares turned lower on the day, in line with Brazil. Investors
are also jittery regarding U.S. interest rates, following last night's speech
by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, which failed to signal an end to the
current cycle of interest-rate increases.
    Last night, the Treasury Secretariat reported that Argentina posted a
primary surplus of 1.904 billion pesos in February, up 37% from a year ago
    In corporate news, Banco Patagonia SA said that it is still in the early
stages of planning for a public listing, which could happen within a year.

    -- Paul.Davee@thomson.com; Thomson Financial Corporate Services

    This is Thomson Financial Corporate Services Latin American Commentary.
The information herein is believed to be true and accurate, we take no
responsibility for inaccurate information and reserve the right to update our
reports. If you have any questions please e-mail James Sang at
james.sang@tfn.com or call 646.822.6233. For more information about Thomson
Financial, please visit our web site at http://www.thomsonfinancial.com.





SOURCE Thomson Financial Corporate Group




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