SEMI Announces Year-End Consensus Forecast for Chip Equipment Industry
CHIBA, Japan, Dec. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- The leading manufacturers of
semiconductor equipment project 2006 sales to reach $40.64 billion
according to the year-end edition of the SEMI Capital Equipment Consensus
Forecast, released here today by SEMI at the annual SEMICON Japan
exposition.
The forecast indicates that, following a 12 percent market decline in
2005, the equipment market will grow 24 percent in 2006. Survey respondents
see the market growing at a single-digit rate in 2007, double digits in
2008 and then back to single digits to reach $50.42 billion in 2009.
"For most of the past year, our industry has experienced a significant
increase in demand for semiconductor devices, as well as strong economic
conditions," said SEMI President and CEO Stanley T. Myers. "SEMI members
have experienced strong overall sales of chip manufacturing equipment in
2006, and anticipate a 50 billion dollar market within the next three
years."
Wafer processing equipment, the largest product segment by dollar
value, is expected to grow over 26 percent in 2006 to $28.84 billion.
Survey respondents anticipate that the market for assembly and packaging
equipment will expand 13 percent to $2.40 billion in 2006. The market for
equipment to test semiconductors is expected to increase by about 22
percent to $6.45 billion this year.
The Japanese market, which is projected to grow 11 percent this year,
remains the largest market region for worldwide equipment sales with $9.11
billion of new equipment sold into the region in 2006.
South Korea continues its expansion in 2006, with projected growth of
20 percent. Sales of new equipment in China and the Rest-of-World market
regions will grow 80 percent and 31 percent respectively.
The SEMI Year-End Consensus Forecast is based on interviews conducted
between late October and November 2005 with companies representing a
majority of the total sales volume for the global semiconductor equipment
industry.
The following survey results are given in terms of market size in
billions of U.S. dollars and percentage growth over the prior year:
Forecast by Equipment Segment
2005 % % % %
Actual 2006 Chng 2007 Chng 2008 Chng 2009 Chng
Equipment Type $B $B $B $B $B
Wafer
Processing $22.86 $28.84 26.2% $30.00 4.0% $34.10 13.6% $35.76 4.9%
Assembly &
Packaging 2.13 2.40 12.9% 2.51 4.4% 2.88 14.7% 3.01 4.5%
Test 5.29 6.45 22.1% 6.59 2.1% 7.47 13.5% 8.02 7.3%
Other 2.61 2.94 12.6% 3.04 3.4% 3.32 9.1% 3.54 6.7%
Total
Equipment* $32.88 $40.64 23.6% $42.14 3.7% $47.77 13.3% $50.32 5.4%
Forecast by Region
2005 % % % %
Actual 2006 Chng 2007 Chng 2008 Chng 2009 Chng
Market Region $B $B $B $B $B
North America $5.70 $7.83 37.2% $8.11 3.6% $8.54 5.3% $8.83 3.4%
Japan 8.18 9.11 11.3% 9.63 5.7% 10.77 11.9% 11.25 4.4%
Taiwan 5.72 6.91 20.8% 7.03 1.7% 8.70 23.7% 9.44 8.6%
Europe 3.26 3.66 12.1% 3.76 2.9% 3.92 4.4% 4.08 4.1%
South Korea 5.83 6.98 19.9% 7.19 2.9% 8.16 13.6% 8.50 4.1%
China 1.33 2.39 80.4% 2.42 1.0% 2.97 22.8% 3.23 8.7%
Rest of World 2.86 3.76 31.3% 4.01 6.8% 4.70 17.2% 5.00 6.3%
Total
Equipment* $32.88 $40.64 23.6% $42.14 3.7% $47.77 13.3% $50.32 5.4%
*Totals and percentages may differ due to rounding of numbers
SEMI is a global industry association serving companies that provide
equipment, materials and services used to manufacture semiconductors,
displays, nano-scaled structures, micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS)
and related technologies. SEMI maintains offices in Austin, Beijing,
Brussels, Hsinchu, Moscow, San Jose (Calif.), Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore,
Tokyo and Washington, D.C. For more information, visit http://www.semi.org .
SOURCE SEMI
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Related links: http://www.semi.org/
CONTACT: Scott Smith of SEMI, +1-408-943-7957, or ssmith@semi.org
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