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Semiconductor Equipment Companies Expect Equipment Sales to Top US$50 Billion by 2009

   SEMI Announces Year-End Consensus Forecast for Chip Equipment Industry

    CHIBA, Japan, Dec. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- The leading manufacturers of
semiconductor equipment project 2006 sales to reach $40.64 billion
according to the year-end edition of the SEMI Capital Equipment Consensus
Forecast, released here today by SEMI at the annual SEMICON Japan
exposition.
    The forecast indicates that, following a 12 percent market decline in
2005, the equipment market will grow 24 percent in 2006. Survey respondents
see the market growing at a single-digit rate in 2007, double digits in
2008 and then back to single digits to reach $50.42 billion in 2009.
    "For most of the past year, our industry has experienced a significant
increase in demand for semiconductor devices, as well as strong economic
conditions," said SEMI President and CEO Stanley T. Myers. "SEMI members
have experienced strong overall sales of chip manufacturing equipment in
2006, and anticipate a 50 billion dollar market within the next three
years."
    Wafer processing equipment, the largest product segment by dollar
value, is expected to grow over 26 percent in 2006 to $28.84 billion.
Survey respondents anticipate that the market for assembly and packaging
equipment will expand 13 percent to $2.40 billion in 2006. The market for
equipment to test semiconductors is expected to increase by about 22
percent to $6.45 billion this year.
    The Japanese market, which is projected to grow 11 percent this year,
remains the largest market region for worldwide equipment sales with $9.11
billion of new equipment sold into the region in 2006.
    South Korea continues its expansion in 2006, with projected growth of
20 percent. Sales of new equipment in China and the Rest-of-World market
regions will grow 80 percent and 31 percent respectively.
    The SEMI Year-End Consensus Forecast is based on interviews conducted
between late October and November 2005 with companies representing a
majority of the total sales volume for the global semiconductor equipment
industry.
    The following survey results are given in terms of market size in
billions of U.S. dollars and percentage growth over the prior year:
                        Forecast by Equipment Segment

                     2005            %            %           %            %
                     Actual  2006  Chng   2007   Chng  2008  Chng   2009  Chng
    Equipment Type    $B      $B           $B           $B           $B

    Wafer
     Processing     $22.86 $28.84  26.2% $30.00  4.0% $34.10 13.6% $35.76 4.9%
    Assembly &
     Packaging        2.13   2.40  12.9%   2.51  4.4%   2.88 14.7%   3.01 4.5%
    Test              5.29   6.45  22.1%   6.59  2.1%   7.47 13.5%   8.02 7.3%
    Other             2.61   2.94  12.6%   3.04  3.4%   3.32  9.1%   3.54 6.7%
    Total
     Equipment*     $32.88 $40.64  23.6% $42.14  3.7% $47.77 13.3% $50.32 5.4%


                              Forecast by Region

                     2005            %           %            %           %
                     Actual  2006  Chng  2007  Chng   2008   Chng  2009  Chng
    Market Region      $B     $B          $B           $B           $B

    North America    $5.70  $7.83 37.2%  $8.11 3.6%  $8.54   5.3%  $8.83 3.4%
    Japan             8.18   9.11 11.3%   9.63 5.7%  10.77  11.9%  11.25 4.4%
    Taiwan            5.72   6.91 20.8%   7.03 1.7%   8.70  23.7%   9.44 8.6%
    Europe            3.26   3.66 12.1%   3.76 2.9%   3.92   4.4%   4.08 4.1%
    South Korea       5.83   6.98 19.9%   7.19 2.9%   8.16  13.6%   8.50 4.1%
    China             1.33   2.39 80.4%   2.42 1.0%   2.97  22.8%   3.23 8.7%
    Rest of World     2.86   3.76 31.3%   4.01 6.8%   4.70  17.2%   5.00 6.3%
    Total
     Equipment*     $32.88 $40.64 23.6% $42.14 3.7% $47.77  13.3% $50.32 5.4%

    *Totals and percentages may differ due to rounding of numbers
    SEMI is a global industry association serving companies that provide
equipment, materials and services used to manufacture semiconductors,
displays, nano-scaled structures, micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS)
and related technologies. SEMI maintains offices in Austin, Beijing,
Brussels, Hsinchu, Moscow, San Jose (Calif.), Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore,
Tokyo and Washington, D.C. For more information, visit http://www.semi.org .


SOURCE SEMI




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Related links:
  • http://www.semi.org/
    CONTACT:
    Scott Smith of SEMI, +1-408-943-7957, or
    ssmith@semi.org